WASHINGTON — Latest polls present that Republicans are extra doubtless than Democrats to have a positive opinion of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who suspended his presidential marketing campaign on Friday and gave his help to Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump.
Throughout a speech made in Arizona, Kennedy cited issues that persevering with his marketing campaign would assist Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. Kennedy’s help appeared to have declined in current polls as he struggled to search out his political lane in a race reshaped by the departure of Democratic President Joe Biden and Harris’ nomination in his place. The developments left comparatively slender room for Kennedy’s presence — or departure — to make a distinction within the election consequence. Latest polls don’t give a transparent indication that Kennedy’s presence within the race had an outsized influence on help for both major-party candidate.
Whereas some polls earlier within the 12 months put Kennedy’s help within the double digits, his help hovered within the mid-single digits in most up-to-date polls. It’s unclear if Kennedy would have even obtained that degree of help within the basic election, since third-party candidates ceaselessly don’t dwell as much as their early ballot numbers when voters truly forged their ballots.
In current months, Individuals total have been break up of their views of Kennedy, 70, the son of former U.S. Lawyer Common Robert F. Kennedy.
About as many individuals had a positive as unfavorable view of Kennedy, based on a July -NORC ballot that was performed earlier than Biden dropped out of the presidential race final month. That marked a decline from February, when extra had a constructive than unfavorable view of Kennedy, and about 3 in 10 didn’t have an opinion.
In the newest ballot, about 2 in 10 U.S. adults didn’t know sufficient about Kennedy to present an opinion.
Republicans had been considerably extra doubtless than Democrats and independents to have a positive view of Kennedy. And people with a constructive impression of Kennedy had been extra more likely to even have a positive view of Trump than Harris .
Kennedy additionally struggled to endear himself to political independents. Though he was operating as an unbiased presidential candidate, polling confirmed about 4 in 10 independents didn’t know sufficient to kind an opinion. Those that did had been divided equally between favorable and unfavorable opinions.
Kennedy’s enchantment largely rested on being an alternative choice to the match-up many Individuals dreaded when Biden was going through Trump in a rematch of the 2020 election received by Biden. A Pew Analysis Middle ballot from July discovered that about half of voters who had been supporting Kennedy stated the primary cause they backed him was as a result of he was neither Biden nor Trump, in contrast with about 3 in 10 who listed Kennedy’s traits or insurance policies.
Harris’ transfer to the highest of the Democratic ticket might have additional harmed Kennedy’s prospects. An August Pew ballot instructed that Harris had gained help at Kennedy’s expense. She appeared to have obtained the help of some girls and non-white voters who beforehand had been contemplating Kennedy.
Kennedy’s preliminary pitch was largely targeted on his household title and his relation to different famed Kennedys, together with his father and his uncle, former President John F. Kennedy. CNN polling performed final summer time when RFK Jr. was operating for the Democratic nomination discovered that many Democrats stated they’d take into account supporting him due to the Kennedy title or his household connections. Many members of the Kennedy household endorsed Biden earlier than he withdrew from the race.
John F. Kennedy stays probably the most extremely rated former president in Gallup’s retrospective approval rankings, and his enchantment crosses get together strains. 9 in 10 Individuals approve of how Kennedy, a Democrat, dealt with his job as president, based on information from final summer time, with Democrats, independents and Republicans in settlement.
Information of Robert Kennedy’s withdrawal comes a little bit over per week since a New York choose dominated that he shouldn’t seem on the poll within the state as a result of he listed a “sham” deal with on nominating petitions. Kennedy appealed the ruling, however has confronted a number of comparable challenges across the nation.
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This story initially ran Aug. 22, 2024. It was up to date Aug. 23, 2024, so as to add that unbiased candidate RFK Jr. suspended his marketing campaign and is supporting former President Donald Trump.
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