Journalist Mark Halperin argued that Vice President Kamala Harris won’t be main former President Trump as mainstream polls recommend she is, and that her electoral prospects might get even worse within the coming weeks.
Showing on a livestream on his media platform 2WAY, Halperin talked about new private and non-private polling suggesting that Harris will not be beating Trump within the battleground states, and predicted that she may very well be located within the polls as dangerous or worse by subsequent month than President Biden was in these states in June.
“There’s some public polling already, there’s extra coming. There’s some non-public polling that means that nationally within the battleground states, she’s not forward,” Halperin stated.
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Halperin added that, though Harris appears to be main in present swing state polls “on paper,” her numbers are “nicely inside the margin of error.”
He added, “And there’s some battleground states now the place I believe Donald Trump, on this trajectory, goes to be forward.”
A latest Fox Information ballot of Solar Belt battleground states revealed that Harris is up over Trump in Arizona by one level, and up two factors in Georgia and Nevada, with Trump beating her by one level in North Carolina.
Nonetheless, like Halperin talked about, these variations are inside Fox Information’ margin of sampling error, making it onerous to know whether or not the Democratic candidate is really main Trump.
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Persevering with, Halperin predicted that if Trump can high-quality tune his anti-Harris message, he might construct some momentum and overtake her in every of those states.
“And it could be, no matter what occurs within the interview and no matter what occurs within the debate — it could be that by the center of September when issues have calmed down, when the Trump marketing campaign has had time to prey on a few of the weaknesses that I instructed — that he’s forward in all of the Solar Belt states,” he stated.
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The journalist additionally famous that Harris might very nicely slip to the place Biden was in battleground state polls taken earlier this 12 months — considerably behind Trump. Trump might find yourself “forward in Pennsylvania, and aggressive in Michigan and Wisconsin,” he stated, “which might be roughly the place Joe Biden was earlier than the controversy, with a single path to 270 electoral votes.”
“And that will be a scary place for the Democratic Get together to be in from mid-September by way of Election Day,” Halperin concluded.