Haley has already tried to drag this off in a head-to-head race, final month in New Hampshire, the place the voters was
friendlier to her than South Carolina’s is more likely to be. In response to
exit polls, half of the GOP voters in New Hampshire recognized as unbiased or Democratic, and a 3rd was reasonable or liberal. However Haley misplaced, anyway.
There’s additionally race and religiosity. Eight years in the past, when South Carolina delivered Trump his second victory within the nominating contests, white voters made up 97.9 p.c of the voters, in keeping with state voter information. And most of these voters recognized as evangelicals or born-again Christians, in keeping with exit polls, accounting for roughly two-thirds of the whole GOP voters.
In 2016, Trump received white evangelicals by a slim margin, beating Sen. Ted Cruz, 34 p.c to 26 p.c. However this 12 months, it’s no contest: A
Monmouth University-Washington Post poll late final month gave Trump a 47-point lead over Haley, 69 p.c to 22 p.c, amongst a bloc that dominates the voters in South Carolina.
Amongst all different voters, the 2 candidates are basically tied — however there aren’t almost sufficient of them to offset Trump’s huge benefit amongst white evangelicals.
Equally, Trump holds an enormous lead within the Monmouth College-Washington Put up ballot amongst voters with out a school diploma, 68 p.c to 22 p.c, whereas the 2 candidates are tied amongst school graduates.
