About our polling averages
Our averages embrace polls collected by The New York Occasions and by FiveThirtyEight. The estimates regulate for quite a lot of elements, together with the recency and pattern measurement of a ballot, whether or not a ballot represents possible voters, and whether or not different polls have shifted since a ballot was carried out.
We additionally consider whether or not every pollster: Has a observe file of accuracy in current electionsIs a member of knowledgeable polling groupConducts probability-based sampling
These components issue into how a lot weight every ballot will get within the common. And we think about pollsters that meet at the very least two of the three standards to be “choose pollsters,” as long as they’re conducting polls for nonpartisan sponsors. Learn extra about our methodology.
The Occasions conducts its personal nationwide and state polls in partnership with Siena School. These polls are included within the averages. Observe Occasions/Siena polling right here.
Sources: Polling averages by The New York Occasions. Particular person polls collected by FiveThirtyEight and The Occasions.
