Iowa
Kan.
Ky.
Ala.
Alaska
Ariz.
Ark.
Calif.
Colo.
Conn.
Fla.
Ga.
Hawaii
Idaho
Ailing.
Ind.
Texas
Utah
Vt
La.
Maine
Md.
Mass.
Mich.
Minn.
Miss.
Mo.
Mont.
Neb. third CD
N.H.
N.J.
N.M.
N.Y.
N.C.
N.D.
Ohio
Okla.
Ore.
Pa.
R.I.
S.C.
S.D.
Tenn.
Va.
Wash.
W.Va.
Wis.
Wyo.
Del.
Nev.
Neb. 1st CD
Neb. 2nd
Maine 1
The presidential race will most probably come right down to voters in 10 states that stay aggressive, in line with the newest ratings by the Cook Political Report.
Solidly Democratic states
Solidly Republican states
These states are essentially the most aggressive within the race for the presidency.
Lean Dem.
Tossup
Lean Rep.
Word: Nebraska and Maine every award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and one to the highest vote-getter in every congressional district. Nebraska’s Second District is rated as “Lean Democratic” by Cook dinner Political Report.
There are a lot of mixtures of states that would put both Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald J. Trump over the edge of the 270 electoral votes wanted to win.
If each candidates win the entire states of their stable, possible and lean classes, the race would come right down to the six tossup states in yellow. Ms. Harris would want 44 electoral votes from the tossup states to win. Mr. Trump would want simply 35.
Tossup states
| State | Elec. votes | 2020 margin | 2024 polling |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Pennsylvania |
19 |
D +1.2 |
Harris <1 › |
|
Georgia |
16 |
D +0.2 |
Not sufficient polls |
|
Michigan |
15 |
D +2.8 |
Harris +2 › |
|
Arizona |
11 |
D +0.3 |
Not sufficient polls |
|
Wisconsin |
10 |
D +0.6 |
Harris +2 › |
|
Nevada |
6 |
D +2.4 |
Not sufficient polls |
The six states rated as tossups had been all gained narrowly by Joseph R. Biden Jr. in 2020. If the race comes down to those locations, Mr. Trump has a bonus within the electoral math. He might win with simply two electorally precious tossup states — Pennsylvania and Georgia — whereas all of Ms. Harris’s paths to victory embody no less than three. If Mr. Trump loses Georgia however wins Pennsylvania, Ms. Harris would nonetheless want no less than three different tossups (along with Georgia) to win.
In fact, a few of the states presently rated as leaning or possible Democratic or Republican might additionally come into play.
Lean Democratic
| State | E.V. | 2020 |
|---|---|---|
|
Minnesota Minn. |
10 |
D +7.1 |
|
Nebraska 2nd District Neb. 2 |
1 |
D +6.5 |
|
New Hampshire N.H. |
4 |
D +7.4 |
Lean Republican
| State | E.V. | 2020 |
|---|---|---|
|
North Carolina N.C. |
16 |
R +1.3 |
Probably Democratic
| State | E.V. | 2020 |
|---|---|---|
|
New Mexico N.M. |
5 |
D +10.8 |
|
Virginia Va. |
13 |
D +10.1 |
|
Maine Maine |
2 |
D +9.1 |
Probably Republican
| State | E.V. | 2020 |
|---|---|---|
|
Florida Fla. |
30 |
R +3.4 |
|
Maine 2nd District Me. 2 |
1 |
R +7.9 |
|
Texas Texas |
40 |
R +5.6 |
